Would you bid or not?
Vulnerable One Level Overcall
#1
Posted 2019-April-28, 02:53
Would you bid or not?
#2
Posted 2019-April-28, 10:39
#3
Posted 2019-April-28, 11:57
steve2005, on 2019-April-28, 10:39, said:
Had you been dealer, would you have passed? Then it goes 2H in your left and partner will make the same Kx lead.
True, the lead-directing value of this overcall is yet to be found. At least, if they play H, youll be on lead.
But S is the boss suit, and when I have opening values (which I have, although very minimum), the suit can be weak. The risk of being unable to buy the contract if we pass or X because we miss our 5-3 fit seems too important to me. Some statistics could help, though.
#4
Posted 2019-April-28, 13:13
This might attract the wrong lead, but I'm an optimist - opps might be on lead.
#5
Posted 2019-April-28, 14:40
#6
Posted 2019-April-29, 04:18
I pass at all forms of scoring, but at rubber it seems clear cut to pass. You want to win the rubber and you are in pole position. The worst that can happen is that you make a bad sacrifice in 4♠ having pushed them into bidding 4♥ which they would not bid on their own. If they stop in a part score, you are still favourite to win the rubber.
At MP or imps I will compete the part score, but I will pass initially and act if the opps look like they are going to buy a 2 level contract
#7
Posted 2019-April-29, 05:33
nekthen, on 2019-April-29, 04:18, said:
I pass at all forms of scoring, but at rubber it seems clear cut to pass. You want to win the rubber and you are in pole position. The worst that can happen is that you make a bad sacrifice in 4♠ having pushed them into bidding 4♥ which they would not bid on their own. If they stop in a part score, you are still favourite to win the rubber.
At MP or imps I will compete the part score, but I will pass initially and act if the opps look like they are going to buy a 2 level contract
This analysis relies on the assumption that you are simply competing for a part-score. But since you hold opening values yourself, it seems a little early to rule out making a vulnerable game your way (or completing the rubber!).
I am not expecting partner to readily sacrifice in 4♠ over 4♥ at these colours in a rubber bridge match.
#8
Posted 2019-April-29, 05:41
#10
Posted 2019-April-29, 09:28
=
#11
Posted 2019-April-29, 13:24
I might consider passing if way ahead in an IMP match or at rubber bridge.
#12
Posted 2019-April-29, 14:22
A double would lead partner to lead our likely best suit or to
compete as appropriate.
Matchpoints requires a 1♠ overcall for reasons of how high to
compete.
I voted for a double at IMPs but it may be correct to pass depending
on partner.
#13
Posted 2019-April-29, 14:33
Cheers,
Mike
#14
Posted 2019-April-29, 14:49
Going for it (at this vulnerability): the hand may belong to us in a partial. Except at mps, even bidding 3S over their 3H, and failing by a trick, may be a good outcome (at mps, they are more likely to double than at other forms of scoring). The hand may even belong to us in game. However, for that to happen, either partner is able to get into the auction, in which case overcalling or passing was probably irrelevant, or the opps are not getting beyond the 2-level by the time the auction gets back to me, and I am not passing this hand out, and will bid over 2x by rho, (unless LHO bid 1S!).
Meanwhile, bidding can go so wrong so many ways.
If LHO is declarer in notrump, we would prefer that partner lead his better minor: a spade lead will usually blow a trick (if he had one) or at the least blow a tempo.
We could get doubled at the 1-level and go for more than their (possibly non-existent) game
Partner, with any 3 card support and some modest values, will overcompete. Our minor cards are likely useful, in that context, but having 3 trump losers is unlikely to be good for our side.
If the opps declare some number of hearts, so that at least partner isn't making a suicidal spade lead, declarer is likely going to be able to place all the missing hcp once he figures out our spade suit.
Going 200 on any part score battle will be disastrous at mps, and lead to a small loss at both imps and rubber. Going 500 or more at any level is going to be bad at all forms of scoring.
Finally: unless your partner agrees that one should bid with this hand, bidding and being wrong will be bad for the partnership.
Yes, bridge is a bidder's game: but that is not the same as meaning that one always has to bid anytime one has an opening or near opening hand.
And, yes, I would open 1S had RHO passed or were I the dealer. I have no idea why that makes it wise to bid 1S here: RHO did in fact open, which is, to my mind, something that affects how I think about the hand. Why anyone would think that one can ignore the actions of the opps, when considering one's actions, escapes me entirely.
Now, is the decision close? Yes....very close. In fact were I white v red I would write as strongly in favour of overcalling as I now do in favour of passing. But we are red, they are white and our suit is horrific: the very worst situation for aggressive overcalling.
#16
Posted 2019-April-30, 01:09
#17
Posted 2019-April-30, 03:40
Maarten Baltussen
#18
Posted 2019-April-30, 11:54
miamijd, on 2019-April-29, 14:33, said:
Cheers,
Mike
This quote is soooo abused. People continue to think that this means you should always be aggressive and when in doubt, bid more. Yes, it is a bidder's game. The goal is to ACCURATELY describe your hand to your partner and have a communication to arrive at the optimal contract. Sometimes, the optimal contract for you is to LET THEM PLAY. If your overcalls include trash like this as well as KQT32 J3 AQ4 T85, your partner is going to have no idea what to do.
#19
Posted 2019-May-01, 00:44
#20
Posted 2019-May-01, 10:42
FelicityR writes 'We had an 'interesting' discussion over the rubber bridge table about overcalling vulnerable with a poor five card suit in a 5332 hand. As always I appreciate your replies and thank you in advance. And I have made the poll to reflect the position if you were playing MPs or IMPs too. This was the hand:- Would you bid or not?'
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Close decision but I rank
1. Double = T/O. Pretending that ♠ is a 4-carder as MsJennifer recommends.
2; 1♠ = NAT. The boss-suit increases our chance of winning the auction.
3. Pass = Might well be best as MikeH suggests.