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How do u continue? Defense problem

#1 User is offline   twcho 

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Posted 2007-March-13, 00:40

You are in 3rd position holding QT4 T8 AKT K8532, IMP, NIL.

The bidding went:
Pass-Pass-1NT(1)-2(2)
Pass-4-All pass
(1) 12-14
(2) Both majors

You lead A (A from AK). Dummy shows AJ752 KQJ4 863 Q. Your pd follows with 2 showing even no. How will you continue your defense?
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#2 User is offline   MFA 

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Posted 2007-March-13, 07:04

1. K.
2. Change our agreements.
Michael Askgaard
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#3 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2007-March-13, 10:04

Ugh, this is an unsolvable problem playing these methods. I can't tell if pard has the Q and the K, the J and the A, or whatever.
"Phil" on BBO
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#4 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2007-March-13, 11:41

pclayton, on Mar 13 2007, 11:04 AM, said:

Ugh, this is an unsolvable problem playing these methods.

Agree. And while there will always be unsolvable problems at bridge, it seems like this one shouldn't be as hard as you and your partner make it.
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

- hrothgar
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#5 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2007-March-13, 11:57

why would you agree to play count in this situation? Seems to be a clear case for an attitude card, not a count card. I agree with the earlier posters.
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
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#6 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2007-March-13, 12:09

By the way, in this situation, playing Obvious Shift, an encouraging diamond would DENY the K (or Queen - but we are looking at it).

Knowing this, the defense has different options, but needs to get busy. We can play pard for the Q, or the A and J, or a trump card and a doubleton spade, or any doubleton diamond and a side winner.

A discouraging diamond would show the K, which takes pressure off of us, unless declarer has exactly a stiff spade.
"Phil" on BBO
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#7 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2007-March-13, 12:27

pclayton, on Mar 13 2007, 01:09 PM, said:

By the way, in this situation, playing Obvious Shift, an encouraging diamond would DENY the K (or Queen - but we are looking at it).

Knowing this, the defense has different options, but needs to get busy. We can play pard for the Q, or the A and J, or a trump card and a doubleton spade, or any doubleton diamond and a side winner.

A discouraging diamond would show the K, which takes pressure off of us, unless declarer has exactly a stiff spade.

Sorry, Phil, but I disagree. An encouraging would be encouraging 'compared to' the suit, but partner should encourage with, say, Kxx and Qxx(x)s. Partner wants you to cash out the s before they go away: the can wait.

I agree that, if we were looking at AKQ(x)s, an encouraging signal would deny interest in a switch, and that a discouraging signal would indicate tolerance for a switch.. therefore, given what we can see, the K.
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
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#8 User is offline   skjaeran 

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Posted 2007-March-13, 12:32

1. I'd never agree to use count here, so I'd never encounter this exact problem. Attitude signal is a must.

2. Assuming I had to sub for someone, I'd most probably switch to a low .
Kind regards,
Harald
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#9 User is offline   twcho 

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Posted 2007-March-13, 12:33

Can anyone give any idea on how to continue the defense given the context of the defensive signal agreement?

I know many will play different defensive signal agreement. Some will apply in some cases, but not working very effectively at another. How can one decide which signal is in priority with so many different possibilities?
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#10 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2007-March-13, 12:39

mikeh, on Mar 13 2007, 10:27 AM, said:

pclayton, on Mar 13 2007, 01:09 PM, said:

By the way, in this situation, playing Obvious Shift, an encouraging diamond would DENY the K (or Queen - but we are looking at it).

Knowing this, the defense has different options, but needs to get busy. We can play pard for the Q, or the A and J, or a trump card and a doubleton spade, or any doubleton diamond and a side winner.

A discouraging diamond would show the K, which takes pressure off of us, unless declarer has exactly a stiff spade.

Sorry, Phil, but I disagree. An encouraging would be encouraging 'compared to' the suit, but partner should encourage with, say, Kxx and Qxx(x)s. Partner wants you to cash out the s before they go away: the can wait.

I agree that, if we were looking at AKQ(x)s, an encouraging signal would deny interest in a switch, and that a discouraging signal would indicate tolerance for a switch.. therefore, given what we can see, the K.

The nice thing about Obvious Shift is that you can choose to ignore the rules.

We do it all the time in our partnership, and I would agree that if pard is looking at both the Q and the K, that pard should disregard the card, even though per strict OS dogma pard has denied the K. This is a systemic 'lie' designed to keep pard on the right path.

On the other hand, if Dummy held a shorter spade suit, a spade shift may have more appeal, and pard should be more willing to confirm possession of the K.

I'd be surprised if we OS differently, but per the book, spades is the Obvious Shift suit, and a discoraging diamond tends to show the K or Q.
"Phil" on BBO
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#11 User is offline   awm 

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Posted 2007-March-13, 12:39

I would continue diamonds. This is right any time partner has doubleton diamond, or if partner has four diamonds to the queen.

If we assume partner has four diamonds, then he's about 4/7 to hold the queen (Qxx and xxx diamonds will look roughly the same to declarer in the bidding). If partner has neither the queen nor jack of diamonds then the continuation probably won't cost, so for the second diamond to be bad we need partner to have the jack and not the queen (about 2/7).

Even if partner does hold Jxxx without the queen, it's not all that clear what we should do at trick two. A club switch to partner's ace could set, but a club switch with declarer holding the ace and jack could also be the only switch that allows them to make (say partner has Kxx and Jxxx and out).

My thought process would be: continuing diamonds is right more than twice as often as it's wrong. If continuing diamonds is right, I must do it now. If continuing diamonds is wrong, then I'm on a guess as to what to switch to anyway. So I'll continue diamonds.
Adam W. Meyerson
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#12 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2007-March-13, 12:40

Quote

Can anyone give any idea on how to continue the defense given the context of the defensive signal agreement?

I know many will play different defensive signal agreement. Some will apply in some cases, but not working very effectively at another. How can one decide which signal is in priority with so many different possibilities?


I'll play a club. If pard doesn't have the K, or the Ace, we aren't beating this anyway. On the other hand, if pard has the A, and the J, we need to cash our tricks quickly.

If pard has exactly 2 diamonds, and the K, I need to give him a ruff now, however, we also need pard to hold at most 2 or 3 spades. Along with the expected doubleton heart, that gives pard 6 or 7 clubs, and I think pard might have found a Lebensohl 2N call over the Capp call.
"Phil" on BBO
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#13 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2007-March-13, 12:50

pclayton, on Mar 13 2007, 01:39 PM, said:

The nice thing about Obvious Shift is that you can choose to ignore the rules.

We do it all the time in our partnership, and I would agree that if pard is looking at both the Q and the K, that pard should disregard the card, even though per strict OS dogma pard has denied the K. This is a systemic 'lie' designed to keep pard on the right path.

On the other hand, if Dummy held a shorter spade suit, a spade shift may have more appeal, and pard should be more willing to confirm possession of the K.

I'd be surprised if we OS differently, but per the book, spades is the Obvious Shift suit, and a discoraging diamond tends to show the K or Q.

I may have to haul my copy of A Switch in Time out of the basement (my wife uses all the meagre bookshelves we have upstairs), because I think we do OS differently :)

I would play an encouraging as either neutral or discouraging re s, and encouraging re s. I would definitely NOT take it as denying a useful card.

My view of OS is that, at trick one, 3rd seat thinks as follows:

1. applying the agreed-upon hierarchial rules, determine the OS switch (while this sounds complex, it is easy and quick once you internalize the rules)

2. Look at your holdings. With the exception (and rare) case of the 'flag' to suggest the non-obvious switch, tell partner whether you like the lead or whether you would prefer that he switch to the obvious switch suit.

With Kx(x) of s, and the Q, there is no way, on the given hand, that I would want partner to switch, so I encourage s regardless of my holding, and, unless memory serves me wrong (not for the 1st or last time) that is consistent with the book. A discouraging is a positive suggestion to consider switching, an encouraging is suggests continuing, which is based on EITHER a true liking for s, independent of feelings, OR a denial of tolerance for the OS.
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
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#14 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2007-March-13, 13:52

I'm pretty sure Obvious Shift works like this:

"An encouraging card in the led suit does not deny the outside card in the OS suit, OTOH a discouraging card absolutely, positively guarantees posession of a card in the OS suit".

"Encouraging" diamonds in the subject hand wouldn't deny the K, but discouraging 's would.

So 'encouraging' is neutral, but 'discouraging' sends a message that is 100% clear.

As long as you choose not to bend the rules LOL. :blink: :)
"Phil" on BBO
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#15 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2007-March-13, 16:33

K so that partner can finally give a useful signal
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#16 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2007-March-14, 03:34

I think this is a very poor guess:
1.After a passive lead they may set up spades for a discard.
2. If I cash a second diamond, I need two black suit tricks from pd to beat the contract.
3. If I continue with the King of Club, Pd will nearly never overtake. Or, if declarer has AJ of club, I set up a diamond discard.
4. If I play a low club and declarer has the ace...

Oh well.
Okay, I will play the King of Clubs to give my pd the chance to be brilliant.
He will hold the jack of clubs and he will overtake the king to play a diamond if he has Jxxx or xx or he will duck with Kxx in spades.

Yes I do have partners who find these plays always at the table. Unluckily they don`t have such a partner...
Kind Regards

Roland


Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
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#17 User is offline   MFA 

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Posted 2007-March-14, 08:21

Codo, on Mar 14 2007, 04:34 AM, said:

3. If I continue with the King of Club, Pd will nearly never overtake.

Maybe I'm too good used here, but I fully expect my partner to overtake the K 100% of the time, with or without the J.
He can see dummy too and knows that we need 3 diamond tricks to beat this.

Well, ok, if he doesn't overtake, it just means that he holds the Q himself and I will then continue diamonds from my side.
Michael Askgaard
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#18 User is offline   kenberg 

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Posted 2007-March-14, 08:34

Given the carding agreements, which like pretty much everyone else I don't like, I would shift to a low club at imps (the given form of scoring) and probably just continue diamonds at mps. My reasoning for the club shift at imps:

We need four tricks and at best only three are available in diamonds, therefore partner must have a useful black card. Declaerer is a passed hand and jumped to four hearts over 2D, suggesting, although certainly not guaranteeing, that his useful outside cards are in spades rather than clubs. He has something in diamonds since I trust that if partner holds the QJxx he plays the Q, not the 2. So declarer can hold Kx in spades, Axxxx of hearts Qxx of diamonds and Jxx in clubs and bid this way, I imagine.

This reasoning is suspect enough that I am just barely willing to use it at imps. At mps, I just start cashing.

Ken
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#19 User is offline   twcho 

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Posted 2007-March-14, 09:13

Hi Ken, did u know the hand? You exactly described declarer's hand which was Kx Axxxx Qxx Jxx. :P
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#20 User is offline   kenberg 

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Posted 2007-March-14, 09:55

Even a blind pig gets an apple once in a while. No, I hadn't seen the hand.

Thanks, I appreciate hearing that it works.

Ken
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