another preempt decision
#2
Posted 2006-May-31, 07:05
#3
Posted 2006-May-31, 07:20
1) 4♥ and the auction will end here
2) if dbl is not agreed as penalty i dbl, leaving partner space to describe his hand
#4
Posted 2006-May-31, 07:49
Without that agreement, 4♥.
#5
Posted 2006-May-31, 08:48
#6
Posted 2006-May-31, 09:22
Echognome, on May 31 2006, 02:48 PM, said:
Aren't you being a bit over-optimistic? There is a good chance you have spade loser and that any red suit finesse will lose. You need either sizeable extras or some unexpected shape from pard to make 6, and 5 may be in jeapordy on a bad day.
#7
Posted 2006-May-31, 09:24
If he has perfect shape, a decent minimum makes slam: x AKxx Axxx Qxxx is a great 6♥, making on many layouts even if ♣ are 4-1.
If he has less than perfect shape, he will have extra values, and now 6♣ may be on: consider xx AKx KQxx QJxx... 3-2 trump break and we are home free, yet 6♥ has no play.
The lack of a big raise on my right is of dubious assistance, given that we do not even know the vulnerability.
4♥ looks like a huge underbid.
Double is responsive, but can be left in and will usually be left in by an extra-value less than perfect shape takeout double...in short, double is not this hand.
4♠ gets us by this round, and appears to be the value bid until one contemplates follow-ups.
If we are playing with a good partner, he can always haul out 5N over our 4♠ with extras...thus with the 2=3=4=4 hand I posited, 5N seems right over our 4♠...I think the hand I gave would be a minimum.
This means that if he merely bids 5m, we pass 5♣ and correct 5♦ to 5♥.
If he bids 4N, it is an interesting question as to what that means. If we were red v white, it is possible that he has a strong NT overcall, especially if our opps are juniors
#8
Posted 2006-May-31, 09:27
#9
Posted 2006-May-31, 12:13
#10
Posted 2006-May-31, 17:33
#11
Posted 2006-May-31, 17:41
#12
Posted 2006-May-31, 17:47
#13
Posted 2006-May-31, 18:02
This takes a lot of the fun out of 6♥. I need to pick up trump for no losers, and set up diamonds (or clubs in hand) for a spade pitch somewhere. Seemingly strong hands like: xx, AKxx, KQJx, Qxx make slam a losing prop. If pard has a barnburner, I hope he'll find a call over 4♥.
Oddly enough, if we are NV and the opps are vul, slam suddenly looks better given that pard probably has a stiff spade.
I'll stay fixed here and bid 4♥.
#14
Posted 2006-May-31, 18:15
luke warm, on May 31 2006, 06:47 PM, said:
I would not raise 5♣ to 6...if we were playing matchpoints, and I had bid 4♠, I'd either bid 5♥ over 5♣, as a slam try in ♥, or raise to 6♣, because 5♣ making exactly 5 would be below average, losing to the multitude of 4♥ bidders. In fact, at mps, I would have settled for 4♥ myself... the reason I embarked upon 4♠ was that I was willing to pass 5♣.. I don't worry overmuch about an imp or two here if ♥ scores the same tricks. I was, however, willing to give partner a chance to show extras.
In other words, if he bids 5♣, I pay 1 or 2 imps to the 4♥ bidders. If he bids 5♦, I bid 5♥... I either break even (going down in 5♥ is extremely remote) or I get to 6♥ and either win big or lose big.
If he bids 5♥, I pass and almost certainly break even.
It is when he bids 5N or higher that my 4♠ pays and pays big: no 4♥ bidder is reaching slam... or if they are, they are missing grand.... consider how big partner has to be to move over 4♥, which could be bid on far, far weaker hands, especially those with 6+♥.
BTW, I respect jdonn's comment about Ax in an opponent's suit as a bad holding on these auctions, and that is why my planned auctions end so often at the 5-level. But for me, this is too slam oriented not to make a try.. which is all 4♠ is.
#15
Posted 2006-May-31, 22:53
In principle I agree with the 4S bid (as it keeps 6 or even 7C in the picture), but my 2nd choice (say 85 on MSC) would be a direct 5H bid, which might be even better if that first H pip was significant.
By contrast, remove the HJ and I am MUCH less sanguine about the whole hand (which might seem a little wimpy), but would still make a move - just
Out of interest how many would make the same move if the H & C were reversed?
To my mind this is a superprime 14HCP all in controls (including first round in their suit), with the exception of the HQJ which is my long suit....this is a slam try in my book opposite partner's takeout double which effectively forced to the 3-level.
#17
Posted 2006-June-05, 22:51
bridge blog001:
http://cf71632485.spaces.live.com/blog/cns...!1015.entry
bridge blog002:
http://cvl7163cf2485...st-22291-1.html
"You are not thinking. You are merely being logical". - Neils Bohr
#18
Posted 2006-June-06, 00:04
Echognome, on May 31 2006, 09:48 AM, said:
Count me as a 4♠ bidder as well.
#19
Posted 2006-June-06, 16:27
cueing 4s probably induces P to bid a minor, and you're stuck again.
Maybe a jump to 5h is the best you can do. At least you are inviting 6 if P has extras.
Also, I don't give much stock to theory that the 3s bid assures that P has a doubleton spade. When I raise to 3s in that situation, it's because I want the opponents to "find" 4h. This can occur for two reasons:
- I have "stuff" that makes 4h apt to fail (not the case here), or
- I am convinced that they can make 6h, and want to give them to languish in 4.
On the flip side, if I don't want to defend 4h, I'll raise to 4s - trying to induce them into 5h (best I can do for the defense).
BTW, what if RHO's bid was 4s? Do you readers bid 4N? or 5h?

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