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another preempt decision

#1 User is online   mike777 

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Posted 2006-May-31, 06:57

Ax.....QJxxx..xx...AKxx
2S=X=3S=?
Imps.

Pick your vul if it matters.
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#2 User is offline   helene_t 

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Posted 2006-May-31, 07:05

4. We might miss slam but I don't see how to reach it.
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#3 User is offline   hotShot 

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Posted 2006-May-31, 07:20

Since i obviously have no smart agreement with partner, i see 2 options.

1) 4 and the auction will end here
2) if dbl is not agreed as penalty i dbl, leaving partner space to describe his hand
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#4 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2006-May-31, 07:49

With the agreement that "dbl + correct 4m to 4" shows a stronger hand than a direct 4, that would be a good way to bid the hand.

Without that agreement, 4.
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#5 User is offline   Echognome 

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Posted 2006-May-31, 08:48

I'm bidding 4. I certainly would be willing to bid 5 over 4, so why not show my control now? I know this may get us too high, but I'm willing to take the chance. I believe my hand is too good for a simple 'freebid'.
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#6 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2006-May-31, 09:22

Echognome, on May 31 2006, 02:48 PM, said:

I'm bidding 4. I certainly would be willing to bid 5 over 4, so why not show my control now? I know this may get us too high, but I'm willing to take the chance. I believe my hand is too good for a simple 'freebid'.

Aren't you being a bit over-optimistic? There is a good chance you have spade loser and that any red suit finesse will lose. You need either sizeable extras or some unexpected shape from pard to make 6, and 5 may be in jeapordy on a bad day.
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#7 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2006-May-31, 09:24

This is a heck of a problem. My 'solution' is 4

If he has perfect shape, a decent minimum makes slam: x AKxx Axxx Qxxx is a great 6, making on many layouts even if are 4-1.

If he has less than perfect shape, he will have extra values, and now 6 may be on: consider xx AKx KQxx QJxx... 3-2 trump break and we are home free, yet 6 has no play.

The lack of a big raise on my right is of dubious assistance, given that we do not even know the vulnerability.

4 looks like a huge underbid.

Double is responsive, but can be left in and will usually be left in by an extra-value less than perfect shape takeout double...in short, double is not this hand.

4 gets us by this round, and appears to be the value bid until one contemplates follow-ups.

If we are playing with a good partner, he can always haul out 5N over our 4 with extras...thus with the 2=3=4=4 hand I posited, 5N seems right over our 4...I think the hand I gave would be a minimum.

This means that if he merely bids 5m, we pass 5 and correct 5 to 5.

If he bids 4N, it is an interesting question as to what that means. If we were red v white, it is possible that he has a strong NT overcall, especially if our opps are juniors :D However, I would take it as asking me to bid a minor, with less than the values for 5N, and I'd bid 5
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#8 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2006-May-31, 09:27

Close decision, but I have a policy that I have regretted breaking many times of being conservative with Ax of a suit the opponents have bid and raised. So just 4.
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#9 User is offline   hatchett 

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Posted 2006-May-31, 12:13

4 An underbid but 4 is an overbid. I prefer to take my plus score, since if I start with 4 I have no certainty of reaching slam when it is right or in the right strain and the 5 level might be too high.
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#10 User is offline   luke warm 

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Posted 2006-May-31, 17:33

you have 5 controls... wouldn't you bid 4H with a 10 count? aren't you *supposed* to bid 4H with a 10 count? i think i'd bid 4S
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#11 User is online   mike777 

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Posted 2006-May-31, 17:41

I understand 4s but what do we do over partner's 5 level rebid? Let us assume he would rebid 5clubs or 5H?
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#12 User is offline   luke warm 

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Posted 2006-May-31, 17:47

yeah, the 5c bid is the one i'd worry about... 6c could be excellent.. mikeh said he'd pass 5c, but i'd probably bid 6... to be consistent i guess i'd bid 6h over 5, but that's probably way wrong
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#13 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2006-May-31, 18:02

I tend to trust my opponents here. if its equal vul, its a lock pard has a doubleton spade.

This takes a lot of the fun out of 6. I need to pick up trump for no losers, and set up diamonds (or clubs in hand) for a spade pitch somewhere. Seemingly strong hands like: xx, AKxx, KQJx, Qxx make slam a losing prop. If pard has a barnburner, I hope he'll find a call over 4.

Oddly enough, if we are NV and the opps are vul, slam suddenly looks better given that pard probably has a stiff spade.

I'll stay fixed here and bid 4.
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#14 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2006-May-31, 18:15

luke warm, on May 31 2006, 06:47 PM, said:

yeah, the 5c bid is the one i'd worry about... 6c could be excellent.. mikeh said he'd pass 5c, but i'd probably bid 6... to be consistent i guess i'd bid 6h over 5, but that's probably way wrong

I would not raise 5 to 6...if we were playing matchpoints, and I had bid 4, I'd either bid 5 over 5, as a slam try in , or raise to 6, because 5 making exactly 5 would be below average, losing to the multitude of 4 bidders. In fact, at mps, I would have settled for 4 myself... the reason I embarked upon 4 was that I was willing to pass 5.. I don't worry overmuch about an imp or two here if scores the same tricks. I was, however, willing to give partner a chance to show extras.

In other words, if he bids 5, I pay 1 or 2 imps to the 4 bidders. If he bids 5, I bid 5... I either break even (going down in 5 is extremely remote) or I get to 6 and either win big or lose big.

If he bids 5, I pass and almost certainly break even.

It is when he bids 5N or higher that my 4 pays and pays big: no 4 bidder is reaching slam... or if they are, they are missing grand.... consider how big partner has to be to move over 4, which could be bid on far, far weaker hands, especially those with 6+.

BTW, I respect jdonn's comment about Ax in an opponent's suit as a bad holding on these auctions, and that is why my planned auctions end so often at the 5-level. But for me, this is too slam oriented not to make a try.. which is all 4 is.
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#15 User is offline   Impact 

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Posted 2006-May-31, 22:53

I am with the slam-try crowd.

In principle I agree with the 4S bid (as it keeps 6 or even 7C in the picture), but my 2nd choice (say 85 on MSC) would be a direct 5H bid, which might be even better if that first H pip was significant.

By contrast, remove the HJ and I am MUCH less sanguine about the whole hand (which might seem a little wimpy), but would still make a move - just
Out of interest how many would make the same move if the H & C were reversed?

To my mind this is a superprime 14HCP all in controls (including first round in their suit), with the exception of the HQJ which is my long suit....this is a slam try in my book opposite partner's takeout double which effectively forced to the 3-level.
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#16 User is offline   flytoox 

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Posted 2006-May-31, 23:15

I would just jump to 6H and forget about science.
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#17 User is offline   cf_John0 

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Posted 2006-June-05, 22:51

I prefer responsible DBl,
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#18 User is offline   HeartA 

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Posted 2006-June-06, 00:04

Echognome, on May 31 2006, 09:48 AM, said:

I'm bidding 4. I certainly would be willing to bid 5 over 4, so why not show my control now? I know this may get us too high, but I'm willing to take the chance. I believe my hand is too good for a simple 'freebid'.

Count me as a 4 bidder as well.
Senshu
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#19 User is offline   moysian 

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Posted 2006-June-06, 16:27

4h is a sincere underbid; you have an ace more than necessary, plus a 5th heart.

cueing 4s probably induces P to bid a minor, and you're stuck again.

Maybe a jump to 5h is the best you can do. At least you are inviting 6 if P has extras.


Also, I don't give much stock to theory that the 3s bid assures that P has a doubleton spade. When I raise to 3s in that situation, it's because I want the opponents to "find" 4h. This can occur for two reasons:

- I have "stuff" that makes 4h apt to fail (not the case here), or

- I am convinced that they can make 6h, and want to give them to languish in 4.

On the flip side, if I don't want to defend 4h, I'll raise to 4s - trying to induce them into 5h (best I can do for the defense).

BTW, what if RHO's bid was 4s? Do you readers bid 4N? or 5h?
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