Four on the floor Mea culpa
#2
Posted 2021-September-12, 16:30
#3
Posted 2021-September-12, 16:32
I could of course be reading this problem completely wrong and the objective is not to take desperate measures to make, but to minimise the number of -100's I concede.
#5
Posted 2021-September-12, 17:27
If I make the reasonable assumption that east holds spade length, my only chance to make against the 4-0 looks to me as if I have to play east for Kxxx, AQxxx, void, Axxx, so I play the heart jack. If that holds, I can exit with the club K and get back to dummy with a club ruff, take the finesse, and after picking up the spades still unblock the diamonds and end up ruffing a losing heart in hand.
It's not all that farfetched is it?
#6
Posted 2021-September-12, 19:24
Winstonm, on 2021-September-12, 17:27, said:
By my vacant spaces calculations after the 6-0 diamond split, I get:
15% chance of East holding Kxxx
10% chance of East holding xxx
17% chance of East holding Kx
So the latter two seem much more likely (and that's before multiplying by the fact you need East to have many more specific cards in the 4-0 version vs just the heart king in the others, or the fact East would likely prefer leading a low club to a heart with the 4-0 hand).
#7
Posted 2021-September-12, 19:38
smerriman, on 2021-September-12, 19:24, said:
15% chance of East holding Kxxx
10% chance of East holding xxx
17% chance of East holding Kx
So the latter two seem much more likely (and that's before multiplying by the fact you need East to have many more specific cards in the 4-0 version vs just the heart king in the others, or the fact East would likely prefer leading a low club
to a heart with the 4-0 hand).
Yes, to make you need the heart ace on your right and the spade king to fall under the ace. Or my unlikely scenario.
#8
Posted 2021-September-12, 23:38
Winstonm, on 2021-September-12, 17:27, said:
If I make the reasonable assumption that east holds spade length, my only chance to make against the 4-0 looks to me as if I have to play east for Kxxx, AQxxx, void, Axxx, so I play the heart jack. If that holds, I can exit with the club K and get back to dummy with a club ruff, take the finesse, and after picking up the spades still unblock the diamonds and end up ruffing a losing heart in hand.
It's not all that farfetched is it?
If Rho has the AQxx in hearts, why play the Jack? When does it ever win?
Meanwhile, the King works just as well against that holding.
And if LHO encourages in hearts you know not to exit the club King (although not every RHO, on winning the presumed Ace, would underlead in hearts again. So youd do what I would do anyway heart King, spade Ace. This wins, if winning is possible, against all 2-2 trump spilts and LHO having the stiff King.
Note that if LHO has the Kx in spades, my heart loser goes away on the diamonds.
#11
Posted 2021-September-13, 02:49
AL78, on 2021-September-13, 02:44, said:
Yes - if the SK drops you're making (assuming the HK wins). My comment was replying to Mike who was trying to make when LHO has Kx of trumps. It looks like you could run the diamonds and pitch your heart, but the suit is blocked and you have to give up the lead to get to dummy.
#12
Posted 2021-September-13, 08:53
#13
Posted 2021-September-13, 09:26
sfi, on 2021-September-12, 16:30, said:
AL78, on 2021-September-12, 16:32, said:
Would you go on after partner raises, pre-emptively, to game?Luckily I "passed" the bidding problem


++++++++++++++++++
I finessed ♥J to West's ♥Q. West gave East another ♥ ruff. East cashed ♣A and led another ♣. Now I finessed ♠Q losing to singleton ♠K. Three down

+++++++++++++++++++
SciFi and Al78 played correctly


4 tricks difference
#14
Posted 2021-September-13, 09:35
mikeh, on 2021-September-12, 23:38, said:
Meanwhile, the King works just as well against that holding.
And if LHO encourages in hearts you know not to exit the club King (although not every RHO, on winning the presumed Ace, would underlead in hearts again. So you'd do what I would do anyway…heart King, spade Ace. This wins, if winning is possible, against all 2-2 trump spilts and LHO having the stiff King.
Note that if LHO has the Kx in spades, my heart loser goes away on the diamonds.
If west holds the Q - unless singleton - it doesn't really matter other than to go down more. And if east holds the queen and west the ace, you've saved a trick, have you not?
Btw, I am not arguing for this to be the right line - just another line.
#15
Posted 2021-September-13, 18:45
Winstonm, on 2021-September-12, 17:27, said:
mikeh, on 2021-September-12, 23:38, said:
#16
Posted 2021-September-14, 21:49
#17
Posted 2021-September-15, 02:21
Isle of Man Swiss Teams.
Would you go on after partner raises, pre-emptively, to game?
Luckily I "passed" the bidding problem
but I butchered the play problem.
Against 4♠ West led ♦T. Dummy hopped up ♦J but East ruffed with ♠2..
East returned ♥5. What now?