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Leading against preempt

Poll: What would you lead? (22 member(s) have cast votes)

Which suit you lead?

  1. [clubs] (17 votes [77.27%])

    Percentage of vote: 77.27%

  2. [diamonds] (1 votes [4.55%])

    Percentage of vote: 4.55%

  3. [hearts] (4 votes [18.18%])

    Percentage of vote: 18.18%

  4. [spades] (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

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#1 User is offline   wizards 

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Posted 2014-April-24, 11:38

VUL vs NV

Partner RHO You LHO
---P------2----P-------2
---P------2NT---P-------3NT

2 = Preemptive Weak two diamonds
2= Natural, Forcing 1 round
2NT/3NT = Natural

Opponent is not very strong.
Preemptive style is undisciplined and tends to be aggressive, Diamonds can vary from 5-6 cards, 4 cards Major is possible.

To simplify the issue, assume there's not much difference in which card you lead from individual suit.
Which suit is your choice from this hand?

J653
Q65
J4
KJ87
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#2 User is offline   Zelandakh 

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Posted 2014-April-25, 04:23

Obviously not 4th highest from longest and strongest or the hand would never have reached the forums!
(-: Zel :-)
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#3 User is offline   MrAce 

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Posted 2014-April-25, 05:04

View PostZelandakh, on 2014-April-25, 04:23, said:

Obviously not 4th highest from longest and strongest or the hand would never have reached the forums!



Maybe, I will still lead clubs.
"Genius has its own limitations, however stupidity has no such boundaries!"
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"

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#4 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2014-April-25, 05:21

Heart, on BT grounds.
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#5 User is offline   steve2005 

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Posted 2014-April-25, 21:46

Clubs - good if partner has Q or A, even not horrid if p has ten




if this imps or mp?



Sarcasm is a state of mind
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#6 User is offline   wizards 

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Posted 2014-April-25, 22:04

Imp,
Nothing special here actually, just some opinion collection.

I just hold a little point that 2D opener has bigger chance for four club than four hearts, and responder has it's chance to bid heart but not likely clubs
And four cards of club but not five cards of club makes your risk gain ratio increase, thus making a heart lead superior.

My little opinion only and this want to collect some others opinion, nothing fancy
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#7 User is offline   nige1 

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Posted 2014-April-25, 22:07

IMO K = 10, x = 9, = 7, J = 5 (If dummy has a singleton , then it is more likely to be Q than A).
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#8 User is offline   kenberg 

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Posted 2014-April-26, 05:11

I'm leading a club. It wouldn't surprise me to find that partner has four hearts, but I know that I have four clubs.And yes, there might be a stiff Q the dummy but I am still leading small.

If I had a diamond trick ion my hand I might give some thought to leading the Q of hearts. The idea would be that maybe partner has five hearts and they have Ax. Or some such. I am not sure I woould do it, but I think that it is worth considering. I would not lead a small heart.

On second thought, if I led hearts I would probably lead small. But I doubt I am leading a heart.


I did see that the OP suggested that we don't focus on which card to lead. But I don't think that is realistic. Which suit I would lead and which card I would lead from it are linked.
Ken
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#9 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2014-April-26, 14:51

clubs.

What else? Assuming they know, what they are doing, diamonds
will run, i.e. 5-6 tricks, they will have spade tricks as well,
I am trying to establish our suit.

With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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