Posted 2013-August-07, 12:40
I love the absolute certainty that so many posters seem to feel about their own methods.
As an example, we have players asserting that over opener's 2♦ rebid (a call with which I agree...we should never conceal a 6 card suit if possible, and there is lots of time to bid notrump later), an immediate keycard promises 4 card support, so opener can show the non-existent Queen.
I am not saying that this is unplayable. Playing my preferred methods, it makes perfect sense, but this is because I use 2♦ as a catch-all bid by opener, and I don't show any extra length at all. When opener could bid that way with 4 diamonds, and responder takes control by keycarding, it is probably fairly safe to play this method.
However, I don't see it at all in standard methods, wherein the 2♦ bid promises at least 5 diamonds. Give responder x Ax Axx AKQJxxx and the response to keycard is all he needs to count tricks. Partner shows KQxxxx but only holds Kxxxxx and we will end up in a grand needing 2-2 diamonds, which is not a good spot.
Then we have a player saying that 2♦ usually delivers a 6 card suit.
These approaches, which all make bidding grand trivial, are non-standard yet are being posted in the I/A forum by players who write as if their treatments are normal.
In reality, I think this hand is more complex than these players are willing to admit.
Assuming that 2♦ shows 5 or more, then responder might well keycard, expecting partner to usually hold the Q, and then he has to make a guess.
If partner holds only 5 diamonds, the suit might behave and he might hold 6 in which case we are strong favourites. I wouldn't bid grand knowing that we need a 2-3 break (or a restricted choice should he be 9xxxx!) but I might if I knew it was at worst on a 2-2 break. He'd need to be 5332, and not willing or able to rebid 2N, and surely most 5332 hands with no diamond card above the J would be able to bid 2N. So I might well take the gamble.
Responder might anticipate this problem and set trump. I wouldn't splinter because I want to control the auction. I would bid 3♦. Now partner bids 3N to slow things down. I bid 4♦ to force a cuebid, and while I am maybe biased, I think this sequence definitely shows the 4th trump. Over a 4♠ cue, my 4N would (not for me, but for most) be keycard and now, due to partner having raised diamonds twice and shown very strong slam interest, I would own to the diamond Q.
That makes 7N a reasonable gamble. It is almost always cold.
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari