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Play this slam
#2
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- Joined: 2007-October-18
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- Location:Netherlands
- Interests:Bridge, music, sports
Posted 2009-October-02, 07:25
Win the first trick.
Play ace and king of trumps.
When the queen did not drop run the spades and discard hearts.
You make it when the spades are 3-3 or the queen dropped in the second round.
A small extra change is spades 4-2 with the jack doubleton and the longer trumps in the hand with the longer spades.
I think this is better than de 50% odds of trump queen onside.
Play ace and king of trumps.
When the queen did not drop run the spades and discard hearts.
You make it when the spades are 3-3 or the queen dropped in the second round.
A small extra change is spades 4-2 with the jack doubleton and the longer trumps in the hand with the longer spades.
I think this is better than de 50% odds of trump queen onside.
--
Finding your own mistakes is more productive than looking for partner's. It improves your game and is good for your soul. (Nige1)
Finding your own mistakes is more productive than looking for partner's. It improves your game and is good for your soul. (Nige1)
#3
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- Interests:Genetic Engineering, Squash, Languages, Travelling, Table Tennis, Movies, Judo, Swimming, Scuba Diving, Climbing...
Posted 2009-October-02, 07:36
EDIT: Nevermind, I thought the contract was 6♠ lol
♣ Veni, vidi, proficisci ♣
#4
- Group: Full Members
- Posts: 612
- Joined: 2007-December-31
- Location:Bethesda, Maryland, USA
Posted 2009-October-02, 10:36
dicklont, on Oct 2 2009, 08:25 AM, said:
A small extra change is spades 4-2 with the jack doubletonanywhere and the longer trumps in the hand with the longer spades.
Also 5-1 spades with the long trumps and long spades together as long as the ♠J is stiff.
This seems to add up to about 70% assuming trumps are 3-2.
Also, both this line and the club finesse line make when the clubs are 4-1 onside as long as spades run.
"It is not enough to be a good player. You must also play well." -- Tarrasch
#5
- Group: Advanced Members
- Posts: 2,351
- Joined: 2006-March-21
- Location:North Carolina
Posted 2009-October-02, 11:18
dicklont, on Oct 2 2009, 08:25 AM, said:
A small extra chance is spades 4-2 with the jack doubleton and the longer trumps in the hand with the longer spades.
It doesn't matter where the spade Jack is as long as the hand with four spades also holds the long trump.
You'll ruff the fourth round, cross back to hand and lead a 5th round pitching the remaining heart.
Is the word "pass" not in your vocabulary?
So many experts, not enough X cards.
So many experts, not enough X cards.
#6
- Group: Full Members
- Posts: 81
- Joined: 2007-June-27
Posted 2009-October-02, 13:03
dicklont, on Oct 2 2009, 09:25 PM, said:
Win the first trick.
Play ace and king of trumps.
When the queen did not drop run the spades and discard hearts.
You make it when the spades are 3-3 or the queen dropped in the second round.
A small extra change is spades 4-2 with the jack doubleton and the longer trumps in the hand with the longer spades.
I think this is better than de 50% odds of trump queen onside.
Play ace and king of trumps.
When the queen did not drop run the spades and discard hearts.
You make it when the spades are 3-3 or the queen dropped in the second round.
A small extra change is spades 4-2 with the jack doubleton and the longer trumps in the hand with the longer spades.
I think this is better than de 50% odds of trump queen onside.
Assuming clubs break 3-2.
Probability of ♣Qx = 40%
Probability of ♠ 3-3 = 35.5%
Probability of ♠Jx with ♣xx = 1/3 * 48.5% * 7/16 = 7.07%
Together it's about 64%
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West leads the K♥. Whats the best line to make 6♣