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Suit combo Probably it was talked about before

#1 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2008-February-24, 19:53

you have

A109863

Q72


play for 5 tricks
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#2 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2008-February-24, 20:34

Wrong forum.
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

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#3 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-February-24, 20:35

Heh, this one is my favorite, small to the 7 is correct. Han why is this wrong forum?
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#4 User is offline   dake50 

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Posted 2008-February-25, 00:18

Is this past beginner combos? So advanced or expert?
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#5 User is offline   Wackojack 

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Posted 2008-February-25, 04:24

This looks like a sister problem to the one I posted in "Interesting bridge hands", where I went wrong at the table. I have learned from this so would do as Justin says.
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#6 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2008-February-25, 04:35

I was sufficiently surprised by Justin's answer that I had to stop and think about it. but he is, of course, right.

Small to the seven loses to East's K54, K5 and K4. That's roughly:
1/8 x 50 + 2/6 x 41 = 20

Running the queen loses to East's KJ4, KJ5, KJ and KJ54, which is:
2/8 x 50 + 1/6 x 41 + 1/2 x 10 = 24

Ace and another loses to East's 5, 4, KJ54 and void, which is:
2/8 x 50 + 2/2 x 10 = 22.5

So, it wouldn't take much to make me play one of the other lines.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#7 User is offline   MFA 

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Posted 2008-February-25, 06:36

The big upside is that righty might rise with the K from Kx.
Michael Askgaard
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#8 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-February-25, 06:57

gnasher, on Feb 25 2008, 05:35 AM, said:

I was sufficiently surprised by Justin's answer that I had to stop and think about it. but he is, of course, right.

Small to the seven loses to East's K54, K5 and K4.  That's roughly:
1/8 x 50 + 2/6 x 41 = 20

Running the queen loses to East's KJ4, KJ5, KJ and KJ54, which is:
2/8 x 50 + 1/6 x 41 + 1/2 x 10 = 24

Ace and another loses to East's 5, 4, KJ54 and void, which is:
2/8 x 50 + 2/2 x 10 = 22.5

So, it wouldn't take much to make me play one of the other lines.

Hehe right everyone thinks ace and another is right, even among the very top players few people know this one.

It applies only with a 6-3 fit and the queen being third otherwise ace and another can pick up one 4-0 split and becomes the favorite.

Of course as others have mentioned from a non-technical point of view since people pop from Kx at least some percentage of the time leading small rather than the ace is often right, even with a 5-4 fit (when it is the wrong play against perfect defense).
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#9 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2008-February-25, 07:55

Jlall, on Feb 25 2008, 01:57 PM, said:

It applies only with a 6-3 fit and the queen being third otherwise ace and another can pick up one 4-0 split and becomes the favorite.

And only when you have good enough spots. You need at least A109732 opposite Q54 or A105432 opposite Q96.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#10 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2008-February-25, 08:10

gnasher, on Feb 25 2008, 04:35 AM, said:

I was sufficiently surprised by Justin's answer that I had to stop and think about it. but he is, of course, right.

Small to the seven loses to East's K54, K5 and K4. That's roughly:
1/8 x 50 + 2/6 x 41 = 20

Not quite I think - after the 7 loses to the Jack, you should cash the ace. So it only loses to K54, 5 and 4.
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#11 User is offline   TimG 

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Posted 2008-February-25, 08:45

cherdano, on Feb 25 2008, 09:10 AM, said:

gnasher, on Feb 25 2008, 04:35 AM, said:

I was sufficiently surprised by Justin's answer that I had to stop and think about it. but he is, of course, right.

Small to the seven loses to East's K54, K5 and K4.  That's roughly:
1/8 x 50 + 2/6 x 41 = 20

Not quite I think - after the 7 loses to the Jack, you should cash the ace. So it only loses to K54, 5 and 4.

You are right.

But, in practice, RHO will pop King some of the time when he holds Kx. He doesn't have to do this often to make the second round finesse the better line.

Right?
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#12 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2008-February-25, 08:45

cherdano, on Feb 25 2008, 03:10 PM, said:

gnasher, on Feb 25 2008, 04:35 AM, said:

Small to the seven loses to East's K54, K5 and K4.  That's roughly:
1/8 x 50 + 2/6 x 41 = 20

Not quite I think - after the 7 loses to the Jack, you should cash the ace. So it only loses to K54, 5 and 4.

That's true. I made the same mistake when considering running the queen. After it loses, you should play for the drop, losing to K but gaining against KJ.

Most of this seems quite counterintuitive to me. Just goes to show that, in my case at least, intuition is no substitute for analysis.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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