Posted 2006-February-10, 06:13
The double implies to me that spades are 4-1, but the hand doesn't add up. The 10-card heart fit is a bit odd. Can LHO have 5? Can RHO have 7? I don't think LHO can have 5 hearts and a singleton spade, so maybe double was off a minor suit void. I shall just stay confused for the time being.
Let's see how the play goes with the some alternative lines
i) ruff in dummy, lead a spade to the 9 which holds. Cross in diamonds, lead another spade. RHO rises Ace, say, and plays a third trump. Now you have 4 spade tricks in total, 4 diamonds if they break (I bet they don't) and a club which is 9. That doesn't work.
ii) ruff in dummy, club to the ace, heart ruff, diamond to hand, heart ruff, spade. RHO rises with the ace of spades and plays a heart (before or after cashing a club). Now what? We can ruff and cash the SK, making 10 tricks if spades are 3-2 (and this doesn't need diamonds 3-2, so seems a better line) but we are off if trumps don't break (how many off depends on RHO's distribution).
iii) Discard from dummy (probably a diamond). RHO wins and let's say returns a heart. Ruff in dummy and play a trump to the 9 which holds (if I lose to singleton queen I will be off). Diamond to dummy and another trump. I'm threatening to make 1 heart, 1 heart ruff, 3 diamonds, the CA and 3 trumps in hand is 9. So this line needs diamonds 3-2.
At the moment seems like a guess between trumps 3-2 and diamonds 3-2. Given the auction I would actually go for trumps 3-2, because I can't see LHO being 1-5 in the majors. If RHO is 4711 there's probably something clever I can do but I haven't worked it out yet...